polkyo

Who's betting on “Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?”?

Politics · $1.4M volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

97% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.

199 wallets hold a position worth $275 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 199 of them. The largest Yes holder is caviaro, with $97 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 209 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is 64MGX75VLQ, with $20 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 262 markets (98% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
97%
Holders
158
Money on it
$226
Holders' winrate
46%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
57%
Holders
41
Money on it
$49
Holders' winrate
80%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
caviaronoise$97+$6.5K43% of 209
BabyGrootwhale$30+$56K68% of 743
puipui2486noise$15+$96K18% of 263
gopaywhale$15+$1.1K60% of 218
Biggggggggwhale$6+$705K46% of 5,954
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
64MGX75VLQgrinder$20+$7.8K98% of 262
artiste$10-$4.5K51% of 207
76GHFTDFG$7-$29383% of 72
bulbnbobwhale$7+$6.4K81% of 251
ykiro$1-$140100% of 62
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Open the full signal →Start free

More markets in California Governor Election Winner

Who's betting on California Governor Election Winner →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

199 wallets hold a position worth $275 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 199 of them. The largest Yes holder is caviaro, with $97 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 209 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is 64MGX75VLQ, with $20 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 262 markets (98% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

97% of the money on Yes and 57% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 39 points. A week ago, Yes by 41 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo