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Who's betting on “Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?”?

Politics · $1.6M volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

62% of the money on Yes and 8% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 54 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.

228 wallets hold a position worth $349 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 228 of them. The largest Yes holder is pregamee, with $50 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 145 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is lissartter, with $58 on it, $270K lifetime loss over 2,742 markets (56% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
62%
Holders
173
Money on it
$226
Holders' winrate
41%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
8%
Holders
55
Money on it
$123
Holders' winrate
55%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
pregamee$50-$2.1K30% of 145
JustCrazywhale$42+$32K47% of 264
Protrad$19-$1.5K47% of 201
gopaywhale$15+$1.1K60% of 218
puipui2486noise$15+$96K18% of 263
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
lissartter$58-$270K56% of 2,742
chatgpt.com$40-$9.3K43% of 204
hjgtggbalanced$7+$23394% of 70
FlashTradeOracleTester$7-$3.0K88% of 243
KaraBall1519$2-$47950% of 200
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

228 wallets hold a position worth $349 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 228 of them. The largest Yes holder is pregamee, with $50 on it, $2.1K lifetime loss over 145 markets (30% won). The largest No holder is lissartter, with $58 on it, $270K lifetime loss over 2,742 markets (56% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

62% of the money on Yes and 8% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 54 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 54 points. A week ago, Yes by 53 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo