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Who's betting on “Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?”?

Politics · $1.6M volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

92% of the money on Yes and 19% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 73 points. A week ago, Yes by 71 points.

220 wallets hold a position worth $319 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 220 of them. The largest Yes holder is caviaro, with $138 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 209 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is LBZero, with $40 on it, $26K lifetime loss over 1,012 markets (47% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
92%
Holders
163
Money on it
$225
Holders' winrate
43%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
19%
Holders
57
Money on it
$94
Holders' winrate
61%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
caviaronoise$138+$6.5K43% of 209
0x4e25…d7a7whale$7+$252K59% of 1,000
MaxEntnoise$6+$3.5K41% of 351
Biggggggggwhale$6+$705K46% of 5,954
e46m3whale$6+$1.1M47% of 73,838
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
LBZero$40-$26K47% of 1,012
vvyu$20-$365% of 26
64MGX75VLQgrinder$10+$7.8K98% of 262
FlashTradeOracleTester$7-$3.0K88% of 243
15robnoise$5+$3.2K45% of 239
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

220 wallets hold a position worth $319 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 220 of them. The largest Yes holder is caviaro, with $138 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 209 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is LBZero, with $40 on it, $26K lifetime loss over 1,012 markets (47% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

92% of the money on Yes and 19% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 73 points. A week ago, Yes by 71 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Antonio Villaraigosa win the California Governor Election in 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo