polkyo

Who's betting on “Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?”?

Politics · $1.5M volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.5M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

70% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.

423 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 423 of them. The largest Yes holder is tripping, with $62 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 201 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is studmuffin6969, with $999 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 1,005 markets (58% won).

2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on Yes.

Yes0%
Smart money share
70%
Holders
339
Money on it
$227
Holders' winrate
50%
Snipers
2 · $0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
78%
Holders
84
Money on it
$2.2K
Holders' winrate
64%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
trippingwhale$62+$56K60% of 201
pregamee$50-$2.1K30% of 145
gopaywhale$15+$1.1K60% of 218
PolBanditwhale$7+$24K94% of 79
donthackmenoise$6+$907K29% of 69,634
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
studmuffin6969whale$999+$129K58% of 1,005
goldeye$200-$20K78% of 141
5atkawhale$200+$10.0K59% of 224
tttt123whale$200+$14K74% of 212
tomamatebalanced$114+$19282% of 121
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Open the full signal →Start free

More markets in California Governor Election Winner

Who's betting on California Governor Election Winner →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

423 wallets hold a position worth $2.4K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 423 of them. The largest Yes holder is tripping, with $62 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 201 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is studmuffin6969, with $999 on it, $129K lifetime profit over 1,005 markets (58% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.5M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

70% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 8 points. A week ago, No by 8 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo