
Who's betting on “Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?”?
Politics · $1.8M volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
95% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 32 points.
200 wallets hold a position worth $253 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 200 of them. The largest Yes holder is caviaro, with $120 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 209 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is 64MGX75VLQ, with $10 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 262 markets (98% won).
- Smart money share
- 95%
- Holders
- 158
- Money on it
- $226
- Holders' winrate
- 42%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 65%
- Holders
- 42
- Money on it
- $27
- Holders' winrate
- 91%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| caviaronoise | $120 | +$6.5K | 43% of 209 |
| puipui2486noise | $16 | +$96K | 18% of 263 |
| gopaywhale | $15 | +$1.1K | 60% of 218 |
| JustCrazywhale | $7 | +$32K | 47% of 264 |
| Biggggggggwhale | $6 | +$705K | 46% of 5,954 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 64MGX75VLQgrinder | $10 | +$7.8K | 98% of 262 |
| FlashTradeOracleTester | $7 | -$3.0K | 88% of 243 |
| 546mgdfdf | $6 | +$144 | 94% of 64 |
| Loxip | $1 | +$228 | 95% of 75 |
| gojie | $1 | -$468 | 98% of 91 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in California Governor Election Winner
- Tom Steyer$4.9M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Steve Hilton$3.6M vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: No
- Xavier Becerra$2.3M vol.Yes 97%No 3%Smart money: Yes
- Alex Padilla$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Chad Bianco$2.0M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Rick Caruso$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Nicole Shanahan$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Katie Porter$1.8M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Betty Yee$1.7M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Antonio Villaraigosa$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Stephen Cloobeck$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Kamala Harris$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Toni Atkins$1.6M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Michael Younger$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Eric Swalwell$1.5M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Eleni Kounalakis$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Tony Thurmond$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Daniel Mercuri$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Matt Mahan$1.4M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Butch Ware$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Elaine Culotti$1.3M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money split
- Leo Zacky$1.1M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Other big politics markets
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?
200 wallets hold a position worth $253 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 200 of them. The largest Yes holder is caviaro, with $120 on it, $6.5K lifetime profit over 209 markets (43% won). The largest No holder is 64MGX75VLQ, with $10 on it, $7.8K lifetime profit over 262 markets (98% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 31 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 30 points. A week ago, Yes by 32 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.