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Who's betting on “Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?”?

Politics · $1.4M volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

75% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.

218 wallets hold a position worth $264 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 218 of them. The largest Yes holder is tripping, with $53 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 201 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is bananavomBa717, with $16 on it, $52 lifetime profit over 25 markets (52% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
75%
Holders
161
Money on it
$226
Holders' winrate
49%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
68%
Holders
57
Money on it
$38
Holders' winrate
74%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
trippingwhale$53+$56K60% of 201
pregamee$44-$2.1K30% of 145
BabyGrootwhale$26+$56K68% of 743
Ardtysrt01whale$15+$77665% of 323
gopaywhale$15+$1.1K60% of 218
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
bananavomBa717noise$16+$5252% of 25
64MGX75VLQgrinder$10+$7.8K98% of 262
56GHJK87865$8-$22890% of 62
laklaan$1-$41686% of 201
Wolla$1-$10694% of 85
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

218 wallets hold a position worth $264 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 218 of them. The largest Yes holder is tripping, with $53 on it, $56K lifetime profit over 201 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is bananavomBa717, with $16 on it, $52 lifetime profit over 25 markets (52% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

75% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo