Who's betting on “Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?”?

Politics · $12M volume · Closed · Updated October 6, 2026

This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved No. $12M has been traded on it.

39% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.

1,501 wallets hold a position worth $2.9M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,501 of them.

Yes0%
Smart money share
39%
Holders
672
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' winrate
45%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
78%
Holders
829
Money on it
$2.9M
Holders' winrate
88%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?"?

1,501 wallets hold a position worth $2.9M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,501 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?"?

This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved No. $12M has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

39% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.

When does this market end?

This market closed on October 6, 2026 and resolved No. $12M has been traded on it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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