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Who's betting on “Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $1.2M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $1.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

83% of the money on Yes and 11% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 72 points. A week ago, Yes by 70 points.

255 wallets hold a position worth $32K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 255 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $7.2K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is ds7575, with $50 on it, $7 lifetime loss over 42 markets (0% won).

Yes1%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
83%
Holders
227
Money on it
$31K
Holders' winrate
61%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money share
11% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
Holders
28
Money on it
$460
Holders' winrate
49%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAwhale$7.2K+$1.8M69% of 1,104
ScottyNooowhale$3.6K+$891K48% of 1,533
J-E-Rwhale$2.4K+$249K52% of 642
0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfkwhale$2.3K+$15K77% of 22
lastminwin$2.3K-$10K57% of 7
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
ds7575$50-$70% of 42
clspxo6982$50-$510% of 49
gfdhhdt$44-$1450% of 12
sghjyj$42-$1450% of 12
kgcgrs$41-$1558% of 12
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

255 wallets hold a position worth $32K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 255 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $7.2K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is ds7575, with $50 on it, $7 lifetime loss over 42 markets (0% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $1.2M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

83% of the money on Yes and 11% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 73 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 72 points. A week ago, Yes by 70 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo