Who's betting on “Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?”?

Politics · $1.1M volume · Closed · Updated October 9, 2026

This market closed on October 9, 2026 and resolved No. $1.1M has been traded on it.

87% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.

230 wallets hold a position worth $815 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 230 of them.

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
87% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
Holders
160
Money on it
$235
Holders' winrate
67%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
78%
Holders
70
Money on it
$581
Holders' winrate
75%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?"?

230 wallets hold a position worth $815 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 230 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?"?

This market closed on October 9, 2026 and resolved No. $1.1M has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

87% of the money on Yes and 78% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.

When does this market end?

This market closed on October 9, 2026 and resolved No. $1.1M has been traded on it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo