Who's betting on “Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?”?

Politics · $8.0M volume · Closed · Updated October 9, 2026

This market closed on October 9, 2026 and resolved No. $8.0M has been traded on it.

13% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 70 points. A week ago, No by 70 points.

1,901 wallets hold a position worth $3.4M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,889 of them.

Yes0%
Smart money share
13%
Holders
902
Money on it
$1.9K
Holders' winrate
61%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
83%
Holders
999
Money on it
$3.4M
Holders' winrate
80%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?"?

1,901 wallets hold a position worth $3.4M in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,889 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?"?

This market closed on October 9, 2026 and resolved No. $8.0M has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

13% of the money on Yes and 83% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 70 points. A week ago, No by 70 points.

When does this market end?

This market closed on October 9, 2026 and resolved No. $8.0M has been traded on it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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