Who's betting on “Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?”?

Politics · $1.2M volume · Closed · Updated October 9, 2026

This market closed on October 9, 2026 and resolved No. $1.2M has been traded on it.

84% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.

343 wallets hold a position worth $945 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 343 of them.

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
84%
Holders
164
Money on it
$235
Holders' winrate
67%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
71%
Holders
179
Money on it
$710
Holders' winrate
75%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?"?

343 wallets hold a position worth $945 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 343 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?"?

This market closed on October 9, 2026 and resolved No. $1.2M has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

84% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 13 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 13 points.

When does this market end?

This market closed on October 9, 2026 and resolved No. $1.2M has been traded on it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo