Who's betting on “Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?”?

Politics · $1.3M volume · Closed · Updated October 9, 2026

This market closed on October 9, 2026 and resolved No. $1.3M has been traded on it.

91% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.

238 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 238 of them.

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
91% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
Holders
154
Money on it
$235
Holders' winrate
65%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
82% ▼ 6 pts 24 h
Holders
84
Money on it
$1.8K
Holders' winrate
83%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?"?

238 wallets hold a position worth $2.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 238 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?"?

This market closed on October 9, 2026 and resolved No. $1.3M has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

91% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 9 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 9 points.

When does this market end?

This market closed on October 9, 2026 and resolved No. $1.3M has been traded on it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo