Who's betting on “US military draft authorized in 2026?”?
Politics · $545K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $545K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
16% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 61 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 61 points. A week ago, No by 61 points.
293 wallets hold a position worth $63K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 293 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x6bd3…3e23, with $350 on it, $713 lifetime loss over 14 markets (14% won). The largest No holder is Talophex, with $20K on it, $43K lifetime profit over 1,057 markets (94% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $70 on No.
- Smart money share
- 16%
- Holders
- 123
- Money on it
- $2.2K
- Holders' winrate
- 38%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 77%
- Holders
- 170
- Money on it
- $61K
- Holders' winrate
- 84%
- Snipers
- 1 · $70
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6bd3…3e23 | $350 | -$713 | 14% of 14 |
| 589985 | $170 | -$4.5K | 0% of 7 |
| 0x4CD675A23ad62247851ae387Bb47cd821A83f74b-1776544470486 | $144 | -$504 | - |
| WhatTheBet | $139 | -$4.9K | 45% of 136 |
| TANGO853 | $105 | -$10K | 49% of 349 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Talophexwhale | $20K | +$43K | 94% of 1,057 |
| HotDogswhale | $9.6K | +$21K | 93% of 617 |
| Slight-Vineyard | $6.2K | -$102K | 65% of 104 |
| StraddleSellerwhale | $3.2K | +$59K | 68% of 524 |
| Scoofy-Bubik | $2.8K | -$221 | 96% of 81 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "US military draft authorized in 2026?"?
293 wallets hold a position worth $63K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 293 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x6bd3…3e23, with $350 on it, $713 lifetime loss over 14 markets (14% won). The largest No holder is Talophex, with $20K on it, $43K lifetime profit over 1,057 markets (94% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "US military draft authorized in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $545K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
16% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 61 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 61 points. A week ago, No by 61 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.