Who's betting on “Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?”?
Politics · $11M volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
37% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
2,000 wallets hold a position worth $872K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,997 of them. The largest Yes holder is LlamaLoco0000, with $3.7K on it, $348K lifetime profit over 297 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is Jan777, with $121K on it, $78K lifetime profit over 150 markets (95% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $7.0K on No.
- Smart money share
- 37%
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $26K
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 77%
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $846K
- Holders' winrate
- 78%
- Snipers
- 1 · $7.0K
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| LlamaLoco0000noise | $3.7K | +$348K | 45% of 297 |
| fastviking | $2.6K | -$432K | 75% of 64 |
| eisenpanzer | $1.4K | +$0 | - |
| GuavaGuy | $1.2K | -$3.6K | - |
| LongShortNeutral | $982 | -$19K | 69% of 13 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?"?
2,000 wallets hold a position worth $872K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,997 of them. The largest Yes holder is LlamaLoco0000, with $3.7K on it, $348K lifetime profit over 297 markets (45% won). The largest No holder is Jan777, with $121K on it, $78K lifetime profit over 150 markets (95% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 3¢ and No at 97¢, a 97% implied chance of No. $11M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
37% of the money on Yes and 77% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 40 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 40 points. A week ago, No by 40 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.