Who's betting on “Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?”?
Politics · $1.1M volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
31% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.
807 wallets hold a position worth $159K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 805 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xAcb5E270657780c0FB0dC990AeAb2A5F52f98330-1762545943328, with $213 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 27 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is allenzzz, with $42K on it, $63K lifetime profit over 225 markets (76% won).
- Smart money share
- 31%
- Holders
- 495
- Money on it
- $3.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 49%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 80%
- Holders
- 312
- Money on it
- $156K
- Holders' winrate
- 75%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xAcb5E270657780c0FB0dC990AeAb2A5F52f98330-1762545943328 | $213 | -$2.4K | 44% of 27 |
| Vegeta84 | $181 | -$12 | 0% of 1 |
| 0x97a25C429bf604C53e9C1fF08d0f47e340Fa8Ff6-1772795405156 | $162 | -$2 | 52% of 64 |
| WhateverDude | $158 | -$24K | 47% of 70 |
| votve | $97 | +$0 | - |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| allenzzzwhale | $42K | +$63K | 76% of 225 |
| TheReturnOfDarthMaulwhale | $28K | +$1.6M | 60% of 1,014 |
| elmcap2whale | $23K | +$2.1M | 86% of 1,083 |
| 0x4b6f41E5DE56e155D1b5bf81a51FdF1262B9fCDb-1736529491350 | $12K | -$87 | 69% of 55 |
| Debosnyswhale | $5.4K | +$79K | 87% of 1,073 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?"?
807 wallets hold a position worth $159K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 805 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0xAcb5E270657780c0FB0dC990AeAb2A5F52f98330-1762545943328, with $213 on it, $2.4K lifetime loss over 27 markets (44% won). The largest No holder is allenzzz, with $42K on it, $63K lifetime profit over 225 markets (76% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 2¢ and No at 98¢, a 98% implied chance of No. $1.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
31% of the money on Yes and 80% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 49 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 49 points. A week ago, No by 54 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.