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Who's betting on “Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $1.6M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

87% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 64 points. A week ago, Yes by 68 points.

266 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 265 of them. The largest Yes holder is oneAce, with $548 on it, $51K lifetime profit over 89 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is wrightrick, with $197 on it, $122 lifetime profit over 51 markets (18% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
87%
Holders
233
Money on it
$1.4K
Holders' winrate
54%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
24% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
Holders
33
Money on it
$1.3K
Holders' winrate
21%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
oneAcenoise$548+$51K42% of 89
J-E-Rwhale$115+$249K52% of 642
0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfkwhale$101+$15K77% of 22
RaymondVan$80-$25K46% of 285
0x16cb…2704whale$71+$334K67% of 1,026
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
wrightricknoise$197+$12218% of 51
0xb81d3cd4b8c890bba542283f04b0eae36e8c7c83-1792401401752$120-$050% of 10
lopezkelly$108-$412% of 42
glennphillip$107-$1815% of 71
daykristin$98-$526% of 53
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

266 wallets hold a position worth $2.7K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 265 of them. The largest Yes holder is oneAce, with $548 on it, $51K lifetime profit over 89 markets (42% won). The largest No holder is wrightrick, with $197 on it, $122 lifetime profit over 51 markets (18% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $1.6M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

87% of the money on Yes and 24% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 63 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 64 points. A week ago, Yes by 68 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Tom Cotton win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo