Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?”?
Politics · $444K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 83¢ and No at 18¢, an 83% implied chance of Yes. $444K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
77% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.
568 wallets hold a position worth $194K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 561 of them. The largest Yes holder is Pondermint, with $32K on it, $110K lifetime profit over 259 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is TheOneto3, with $5.0K on it, $35K lifetime loss over 219 markets (33% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.2K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 77% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 387
- Money on it
- $176K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 2 · $1.2K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 38%
- Holders
- 181
- Money on it
- $17K
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pondermintwhale | $32K | +$110K | 60% of 259 |
| SlavaUkrainiwhale | $16K | +$726K | 75% of 288 |
| Libratus007 | $13K | +$23K | 100% of 1 |
| lastminwin | $11K | -$10K | 57% of 7 |
| cocos228whale | $10K | +$537K | 71% of 110 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| TheOneto3 | $5.0K | -$35K | 33% of 219 |
| ForTheWin1984 | $1.2K | +$853 | 82% of 11 |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf | $895 | -$33K | 0% of 1 |
| Mother-Teresawhale | $875 | +$905 | 52% of 3,097 |
| JishWa | $875 | -$68K | 77% of 228 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?"?
568 wallets hold a position worth $194K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 561 of them. The largest Yes holder is Pondermint, with $32K on it, $110K lifetime profit over 259 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is TheOneto3, with $5.0K on it, $35K lifetime loss over 219 markets (33% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 83¢ and No at 18¢, an 83% implied chance of Yes. $444K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
77% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.