Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?”?
Politics · $440K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $440K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
30% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
477 wallets hold a position worth $143K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 474 of them. The largest Yes holder is whoareyoun, with $14K on it, $144 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is TheOneto3, with $15K on it, $35K lifetime loss over 219 markets (33% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $0 on No; the insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $20K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 30% ▼ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 250
- Money on it
- $42K
- Holders' winrate
- 58%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 1 · $20K
- Smart money share
- 68% ▲ 3 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 227
- Money on it
- $101K
- Holders' winrate
- 59%
- Snipers
- 1 · $0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| whoareyoun | $14K | -$144 | 0% of 1 |
| cigarettes | $3.5K | -$10K | 46% of 42,289 |
| geoffmar | $2.1K | -$12K | 40% of 5 |
| overfattingnoise | $1.7K | +$284 | 55% of 42 |
| ghfjnfgjkgk | $1.7K | +$10K | 67% of 9 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| TheOneto3 | $15K | -$35K | 33% of 219 |
| Pondermintwhale | $10K | +$110K | 60% of 259 |
| piepedwhale | $6.8K | +$3.2K | 57% of 178 |
| RLWRbalanced | $6.0K | +$6.2K | 87% of 45 |
| 0x77266604E63f5cAF08D19CaEBae0C563ce064aEnoise | $5.4K | +$56K | 45% of 221 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?"?
477 wallets hold a position worth $143K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 474 of them. The largest Yes holder is whoareyoun, with $14K on it, $144 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is TheOneto3, with $15K on it, $35K lifetime loss over 219 markets (33% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 18¢ and No at 83¢, an 83% implied chance of No. $440K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
30% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 38 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 33 points. A week ago, No by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on Yes ($20K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.