polkyo

Who's betting on “Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $9.4M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $9.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

91% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.

303 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 303 of them. The largest Yes holder is pizzabillgates, with $6.6K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 16 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is ScottyNooo, with $191 on it, $891K lifetime profit over 1,533 markets (48% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
91%
Holders
215
Money on it
$10K
Holders' winrate
73%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
52%
Holders
88
Money on it
$861
Holders' winrate
55%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
pizzabillgates$6.6K+$75K81% of 16
Brokiewhale$1.3K+$180K59% of 906
Forrester26$239-$970% of 1
AnonymousUsernamewhale$225+$350K70% of 5,075
paddaawhale$207+$279K58% of 1,425
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
ScottyNooowhale$191+$891K48% of 1,533
kaoyan$149-$46456% of 32
0x6A0F8f36fa3810Fe3DfCf5CBDD18441B3d7873Ab-1778376062371$124+$3100% of 3
ghorrockwhale$42+$7.8K64% of 30,141
dxtrdh$37-$1470% of 10
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

Open the full signal →Start free

More markets in Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Who's betting on Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

303 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 303 of them. The largest Yes holder is pizzabillgates, with $6.6K on it, $75K lifetime profit over 16 markets (81% won). The largest No holder is ScottyNooo, with $191 on it, $891K lifetime profit over 1,533 markets (48% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $9.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

91% of the money on Yes and 52% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 39 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 38 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo