Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?”?
Politics · $422K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 80¢ and No at 20¢, an 80% implied chance of Yes. $422K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
80% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 5 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
338 wallets hold a position worth $285K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 336 of them. The largest Yes holder is lomneivan, with $97K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 59 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is BreakTheBank, with $8.3K on it, $10M lifetime profit over 609 markets (87% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1.3K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 80% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 193
- Money on it
- $232K
- Holders' winrate
- 74%
- Snipers
- 2 · $1.3K
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 75%
- Holders
- 145
- Money on it
- $54K
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lomneivanwhale | $97K | +$133K | 80% of 59 |
| purplegatto | $34K | -$2.0M | 73% of 3,027 |
| 0x4488…e319whale | $16K | +$661K | 54% of 1,169 |
| gopfan2whale | $16K | +$1.7M | 79% of 1,012 |
| InsiderrrZwhale | $8.3K | +$70K | 56% of 1,000 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBankwhale | $8.3K | +$10M | 87% of 609 |
| supersmardwhale | $6.1K | +$77K | 61% of 114 |
| DumbMoney2222 | $5.1K | -$11K | 45% of 47 |
| Valen9whale | $5.1K | +$233K | 62% of 895 |
| mombilwhale | $4.0K | +$497K | 63% of 1,035 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?"?
338 wallets hold a position worth $285K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 336 of them. The largest Yes holder is lomneivan, with $97K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 59 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is BreakTheBank, with $8.3K on it, $10M lifetime profit over 609 markets (87% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 80¢ and No at 20¢, an 80% implied chance of Yes. $422K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
80% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 5 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.