Who's betting on “Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?”?
Politics · $346K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $346K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
13% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 62 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
379 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 378 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2DfF18Fd8D07983d57A0FbCd3b7f6a04aD904f9d-1774630367178, with $434 on it, $79 lifetime loss over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is tradexplorer, with $4.6K on it, $85K lifetime profit over 203 markets (67% won).
- Smart money share
- 13%
- Holders
- 189
- Money on it
- $2.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 57%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 75%
- Holders
- 190
- Money on it
- $22K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x2DfF18Fd8D07983d57A0FbCd3b7f6a04aD904f9d-1774630367178 | $434 | -$79 | 100% of 1 |
| TANGO853 | $170 | -$10K | 49% of 349 |
| Idli | $138 | -$4.9K | 48% of 27 |
| kabirnath | $135 | -$207 | - |
| leftcurvecapital | $113 | -$253 | - |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| tradexplorerwhale | $4.6K | +$85K | 67% of 203 |
| theGodFather101balanced | $4.6K | +$5.0K | 59% of 201 |
| 0x627A0123bEwhale | $1.8K | +$20K | 77% of 200 |
| 0x75d1B199a96801338e67a6eFAa35C0028eA87A5F-1770658242710whale | $1.4K | +$100K | 60% of 1,453 |
| ScientiaRex | $1.0K | -$2.8K | 82% of 65 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?"?
379 wallets hold a position worth $24K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 378 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x2DfF18Fd8D07983d57A0FbCd3b7f6a04aD904f9d-1774630367178, with $434 on it, $79 lifetime loss over 1 markets (100% won). The largest No holder is tradexplorer, with $4.6K on it, $85K lifetime profit over 203 markets (67% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 9¢ and No at 92¢, a 92% implied chance of No. $346K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
13% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 62 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 62 points. A week ago, No by 43 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.