Who's betting on “Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?”?

Politics · $9.2M volume · Closed · Updated October 5, 2026

This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $9.2M has been traded on it.

70% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.

596 wallets hold a position worth $93K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 595 of them.

Yes0%
Smart money share
70% ▲ 3 pts 24 h
Holders
330
Money on it
$2.8K
Holders' winrate
53%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
94% ▲ 38 pts 24 h
Holders
266
Money on it
$90K
Holders' winrate
68%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?

596 wallets hold a position worth $93K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 595 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?

This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $9.2M has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

70% of the money on Yes and 94% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 24 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 11 points. A week ago, No by 24 points.

When does this market end?

This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $9.2M has been traded on it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

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