Who's betting on “Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?”?

Politics · $7.6M volume · Closed · Updated October 5, 2026

This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $7.6M has been traded on it.

34% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.

703 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 701 of them.

Yes0%
Smart money share
34% ▲ 7 pts 24 h
Holders
433
Money on it
$2.6K
Holders' winrate
43%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
64%
Holders
270
Money on it
$7.4K
Holders' winrate
63%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

More markets in Brazil Presidential Election

Who's betting on Brazil Presidential Election →

Other big politics markets

Every big politics market →

Questions

Who is betting on "Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?

703 wallets hold a position worth $10K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 701 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?

This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $7.6M has been traded on it.

Which side is the smart money on?

34% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 30 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 37 points. A week ago, No by 30 points.

When does this market end?

This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $7.6M has been traded on it.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo