Who's betting on “Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?”?
Politics · $2.4M volume · Closed · Updated October 5, 2026
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $2.4M has been traded on it.
96% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
352 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 352 of them.
- Smart money share
- 96% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 303
- Money on it
- $2.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 51%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 79%
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $827
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Brazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva$30M vol.Yes 17%No 84%Smart money: No
- Flávio Bolsonaro$27M vol.Yes 84%No 16%Smart money: Yes
- Renan Santos$17M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Tarcisio de Freitas$15M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Ratinho Júnior$11M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Eduardo Bolsonaro$10M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Michelle Bolsonaro$10M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Geraldo Alckmin$9.2M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
- Eduardo Leite$8.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Ronaldo Caiado$7.8M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Fernando Haddad$7.7M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Romeu Zema$7.7M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Jair Bolsonaro$7.6M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Camilo Santana$5.6M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Augusto Cury$5.5M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money split
- Aldo Rebelo$5.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Tereza Cristina$4.1M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: Yes
- Pablo Marçal$4.0M vol. · ClosedResolved NoSmart money: No
Other big politics markets
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$75M vol.Yes 21%No 80%Smart money: No
- Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$55M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$54M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$53M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$51M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
352 wallets hold a position worth $3.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 352 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?"?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $2.4M has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
96% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 17 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 17 points.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 5, 2026 and resolved No. $2.4M has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.