Who's betting on “Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?”?
Politics · $489K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $489K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
66% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.
68 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is HerrieDavis, with $26 on it, $328K lifetime profit over 2,442 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is debased, with $1.4K on it, $1.4M lifetime profit over 1,067 markets (46% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $37 on No.
- Smart money share
- 66%
- Holders
- 27
- Money on it
- $148
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 64%
- Holders
- 41
- Money on it
- $3.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $37
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| HerrieDaviswhale | $26 | +$328K | 63% of 2,442 |
| 0x8f6970acd7c9466fc1d09a7c17071705c8e52923-1792437064758 | $26 | -$7.0K | 50% of 604 |
| thefakenickwhale | $17 | +$58K | 57% of 1,074 |
| fiternoise | $15 | +$46K | 16% of 769 |
| Lavinceywhale | $14 | +$62K | 48% of 3,285 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| debasedwhale | $1.4K | +$1.4M | 46% of 1,067 |
| akula1993 | $1.1K | -$229 | 59% of 29 |
| 0x1ff3…eb39balanced | $365 | +$2.7K | 59% of 228 |
| YasHbalanced | $134 | +$1.7K | 77% of 201 |
| Kris-Futurebalanced | $96 | +$23K | 93% of 54 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
- Saudi Arabia$450K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- Azerbaijan$192K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Oman$187K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Syria$171K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Somaliland$124K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: No
- Lebanon$90K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Kuwait$88K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- Jordan$14K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?"?
68 wallets hold a position worth $3.9K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 67 of them. The largest Yes holder is HerrieDavis, with $26 on it, $328K lifetime profit over 2,442 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is debased, with $1.4K on it, $1.4M lifetime profit over 1,067 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Turkey join the Abraham Accords before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 4¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $489K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
66% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 26 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.