Who's betting on “Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?”?

Politics · $88K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

49% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.

366 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 365 of them. The largest Yes holder is hanniphampani, with $144 on it, $6.0K lifetime loss over 11 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is akula1993, with $3.0K on it, $229 lifetime loss over 29 markets (59% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $35 on No.

Yes5%
Smart money share
49%
Holders
184
Money on it
$516
Holders' winrate
48%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No96%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
65%
Holders
182
Money on it
$11K
Holders' winrate
56%
Snipers
1 · $35
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
hanniphampani$144-$6.0K27% of 11
Marco-Rubiowhale$81+$75K58% of 1,085
marinerhazbalanced$45+$1.7K50% of 131
fledger$32-$18480% of 30
0xff7c…b233whale$27+$59K67% of 467
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
akula1993$3.0K-$22959% of 29
pakukudolphiwhale$3.0K+$138K46% of 310
MEPPwhale$949+$553K62% of 1,070
BeatnikBoogienoise$603+$7.0K28% of 210
Jet9balanced$578+$20K65% of 286
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?"?

366 wallets hold a position worth $11K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 365 of them. The largest Yes holder is hanniphampani, with $144 on it, $6.0K lifetime loss over 11 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is akula1993, with $3.0K on it, $229 lifetime loss over 29 markets (59% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $88K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

49% of the money on Yes and 65% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 16 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 14 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo