Who's betting on “Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?”?

Politics · $124K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $124K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

65% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago it was split.

655 wallets hold a position worth $6.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 655 of them.

Yes10%
Smart money share
65%
Holders
336
Money on it
$654
Holders' winrate
53%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No90%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
73%
Holders
319
Money on it
$5.9K
Holders' winrate
59%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?"?

655 wallets hold a position worth $6.5K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 655 of them.

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 10¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $124K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

65% of the money on Yes and 73% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 8 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 7 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo