Who's betting on “Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?”?
Politics · $450K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $450K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
56% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 39 points.
261 wallets hold a position worth $72K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 260 of them. The largest Yes holder is hanniphampani, with $345 on it, $6.0K lifetime loss over 11 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is pakukudolphi, with $25K on it, $138K lifetime profit over 310 markets (46% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $39 on No.
- Smart money share
- 56%
- Holders
- 151
- Money on it
- $3.2K
- Holders' winrate
- 56%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 98%
- Holders
- 110
- Money on it
- $68K
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 1 · $39
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| hanniphampani | $345 | -$6.0K | 27% of 11 |
| LiquidatedDegenwhale | $304 | +$93K | 74% of 1,127 |
| Dragontreewhale | $293 | +$154K | 58% of 1,097 |
| 0xEFD99258Ef67c828B7767370A03e2342709714D6-1779536238530 | $200 | -$1.9K | 78% of 83 |
| fledger | $180 | -$184 | 80% of 30 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| pakukudolphiwhale | $25K | +$138K | 46% of 310 |
| tetrasewhale | $17K | +$965K | 65% of 1,185 |
| thoodrwhale | $4.8K | +$91K | 96% of 810 |
| Jet9balanced | $4.2K | +$20K | 64% of 283 |
| MEPPwhale | $2.8K | +$553K | 62% of 1,070 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
- Turkey$489K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money split
- Azerbaijan$192K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Oman$187K vol.Yes 5%No 95%Smart money: No
- Syria$171K vol.Yes 6%No 94%Smart money: No
- Somaliland$124K vol.Yes 10%No 90%Smart money: No
- Lebanon$90K vol.Yes 7%No 93%Smart money: Yes
- Kuwait$88K vol.Yes 5%No 96%Smart money: No
- Jordan$14K vol.Yes 9%No 91%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?"?
261 wallets hold a position worth $72K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 260 of them. The largest Yes holder is hanniphampani, with $345 on it, $6.0K lifetime loss over 11 markets (27% won). The largest No holder is pakukudolphi, with $25K on it, $138K lifetime profit over 310 markets (46% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 96¢, a 96% implied chance of No. $450K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
56% of the money on Yes and 98% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 41 points. A week ago, No by 39 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.