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Who's betting on “Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?”?

Politics · $343K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $343K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

85% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.

137 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 137 of them. The largest Yes holder is glm4.1.fund, with $3 on it, $593K lifetime profit over 105,072 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is TammyRamos6566, with $327 on it, $189 lifetime loss over 174 markets (43% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
85% ▲ 8 pts 24 h
Holders
108
Money on it
$19
Holders' winrate
41%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
29%
Holders
29
Money on it
$1.1K
Holders' winrate
48%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
glm4.1.fundnoise$3+$593K32% of 105,072
SPLPBnoise$2+$1.7K28% of 3,382
donthackmenoise$1+$907K29% of 69,634
balthazarwhale$1+$1.2M53% of 44,232
0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243noise$1+$27K9% of 27,132
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
TammyRamos6566$327-$18943% of 174
AndrewAtkinson7727noise$153+$59444% of 200
RonaldTrujillo6898$86-$13242% of 200
cowcatwhale$72+$45K68% of 1,058
JenniferVelasquez8185$65-$4050% of 200
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?

137 wallets hold a position worth $1.1K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 137 of them. The largest Yes holder is glm4.1.fund, with $3 on it, $593K lifetime profit over 105,072 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is TammyRamos6566, with $327 on it, $189 lifetime loss over 174 markets (43% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $343K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

85% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 55 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo