Who's betting on “Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?”?
Politics · $222K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 86¢ and No at 14¢, an 86% implied chance of Yes. $222K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
86% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
251 wallets hold a position worth $99K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 251 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $28K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is lomneivan, with $6.6K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 59 markets (80% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $237 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $30 on No.
- Smart money share
- 86% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 178
- Money on it
- $90K
- Holders' winrate
- 67%
- Snipers
- 1 · $237
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 82% ▼ 3 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 73
- Money on it
- $9.4K
- Holders' winrate
- 74%
- Snipers
- 1 · $30
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAwhale | $28K | +$1.8M | 69% of 1,104 |
| SAPolitcsSeerwhale | $6.9K | +$64K | 92% of 83 |
| scottiliciouswhale | $6.1K | +$1.5M | 83% of 1,009 |
| fourtimes | $3.4K | +$833 | 100% of 2 |
| Rr55whale | $3.1K | +$39K | 72% of 1,182 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lomneivanwhale | $6.6K | +$133K | 80% of 59 |
| anoin123 | $1.1K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| 0x6b25…7a69whale | $441 | +$37K | 53% of 1,803 |
| ImJustKenwhale | $210 | +$2.3M | 65% of 1,065 |
| data-syncbalanced | $201 | +$734 | 77% of 48 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Alaska Governor Election Winner
- Mary Peltola$343K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Bernadette Wilson$256K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Tom Begich$174K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Nancy Dahlstrom$133K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- James Parkin$118K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Treg Taylor$64K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- David Bronson$57K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Adam Crum$52K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Matt Heilala$43K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Click Bishop$35K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Edna DeVries$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Lisa Murkowski$28K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Matt Claman$21K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Hank Kroll$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Shelley Hughes$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Bruce Walden$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Bill Walker$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?
251 wallets hold a position worth $99K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 251 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $28K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is lomneivan, with $6.6K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 59 markets (80% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 86¢ and No at 14¢, an 86% implied chance of Yes. $222K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
86% of the money on Yes and 82% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago, Yes by 21 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.