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Who's betting on “Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?”?

Politics · $43K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

86% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.

92 wallets hold a position worth $32 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is glm4.1.fund, with $3 on it, $593K lifetime profit over 105,072 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is 0xf0F8711F85B0ba0e1B1A2dEa56B560B69a6aFCF6-1772006482226, with $9 on it, $204 lifetime loss over 215 markets (98% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
86% ▲ 8 pts 24 h
Holders
88
Money on it
$19
Holders' winrate
43%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
30%
Holders
4
Money on it
$14
Holders' winrate
97%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
glm4.1.fundnoise$3+$593K32% of 105,072
planktonXDwhale$2+$131K76% of 5,427
SPLPBnoise$2+$1.7K28% of 3,382
balthazarwhale$1+$1.2M53% of 44,232
0x16c7337106A0B3a06fF863A1c06D8e2cbf7322cd-1778811943243noise$1+$27K9% of 27,132
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0xf0F8711F85B0ba0e1B1A2dEa56B560B69a6aFCF6-1772006482226$9-$20498% of 215
gyjfgui$3+$16994% of 64
CluelessEyesgrinder$1+$91797% of 200
0x84B9B4adBE48a19fB3b13dd3b52af19606937f7F-1775650688847$0-$4.0K87% of 288
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?

92 wallets hold a position worth $32 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is glm4.1.fund, with $3 on it, $593K lifetime profit over 105,072 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is 0xf0F8711F85B0ba0e1B1A2dEa56B560B69a6aFCF6-1772006482226, with $9 on it, $204 lifetime loss over 215 markets (98% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $43K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

86% of the money on Yes and 30% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 56 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 47 points. A week ago, Yes by 43 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Matt Heilala win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo