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Who's betting on “Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?”?

Politics · $174K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $174K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

74% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 5 points.

201 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 201 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $2 on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is cmarx, with $391 on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 115 markets (75% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
74% ▲ 8 pts 24 h
Holders
142
Money on it
$20
Holders' winrate
47%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
68%
Holders
59
Money on it
$1.6K
Holders' winrate
63%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
anoin123$2-$4.9M60% of 1,429
glm4.1.fundnoise$2+$593K32% of 105,072
SPLPBnoise$2+$1.7K28% of 3,382
balthazarwhale$1+$1.2M53% of 44,232
kaxel78noise$1+$117K42% of 2,232
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
cmarxbalanced$391+$1.9K75% of 115
mwenyawhale$280+$116K51% of 1,058
WalterSobchack$181-$8.7K48% of 226
cowcatwhale$144+$45K68% of 1,058
strawberrypigbalanced$122+$2.2K70% of 157
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?

201 wallets hold a position worth $1.6K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 201 of them. The largest Yes holder is anoin123, with $2 on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is cmarx, with $391 on it, $1.9K lifetime profit over 115 markets (75% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $174K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

74% of the money on Yes and 68% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 6 points. A day ago it was split. A week ago, No by 5 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo