Who's betting on “Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?”?
Politics · $133K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $133K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
72% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.
175 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 175 of them. The largest Yes holder is glm4.1.fund, with $3 on it, $603K lifetime profit over 106,003 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is nicoco89, with $821 on it, $121K lifetime profit over 1,025 markets (65% won).
- Smart money share
- 72% ▲ 7 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 126
- Money on it
- $21
- Holders' winrate
- 42%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 79%
- Holders
- 49
- Money on it
- $5.0K
- Holders' winrate
- 52%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| glm4.1.fundnoise | $3 | +$603K | 32% of 106,003 |
| Szatoshi | $2 | -$15K | 69% of 155 |
| SPLPBnoise | $2 | +$1.7K | 28% of 3,382 |
| donthackmenoise | $1 | +$916K | 29% of 70,303 |
| balthazarwhale | $1 | +$1.2M | 53% of 44,416 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| nicoco89whale | $821 | +$121K | 65% of 1,025 |
| KyleDoyle6253noise | $608 | +$315 | 44% of 101 |
| JohnRodriguez3868noise | $590 | +$635 | 48% of 133 |
| JenniferWood4414noise | $502 | +$511 | 41% of 107 |
| JessicaBird8896balanced | $281 | +$353 | 53% of 150 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Alaska Governor Election Winner
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- Adam Crum$52K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Matt Heilala$43K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Click Bishop$35K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Edna DeVries$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Lisa Murkowski$28K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Matt Claman$21K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Hank Kroll$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Shelley Hughes$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Bruce Walden$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Bill Walker$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?
175 wallets hold a position worth $5.0K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 175 of them. The largest Yes holder is glm4.1.fund, with $3 on it, $603K lifetime profit over 106,003 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is nicoco89, with $821 on it, $121K lifetime profit over 1,025 markets (65% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $133K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
72% of the money on Yes and 79% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 7 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 15 points. A week ago, No by 19 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.