Who's betting on “Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?”?
Politics · $10K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 25, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
87% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 61 points. A week ago, Yes by 56 points.
92 wallets hold a position worth $23 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is glm4.1.fund, with $3 on it, $603K lifetime profit over 106,154 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295, with $2 on it, $643 lifetime loss over 1,186 markets (62% won).
1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $1 on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 87% ▲ 8 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 88
- Money on it
- $19
- Holders' winrate
- 41%
- Snipers
- 1 · $1
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 18%
- Holders
- 4
- Money on it
- $4
- Holders' winrate
- 54%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| glm4.1.fundnoise | $3 | +$603K | 32% of 106,154 |
| SPLPBnoise | $2 | +$1.7K | 28% of 3,382 |
| balthazarwhale | $1 | +$1.2M | 53% of 44,549 |
| donthackmenoise | $1 | +$917K | 29% of 70,388 |
| FrozenParasitesniper | $1 | +$242K | 70% of 1,403 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295 | $2 | -$643 | 62% of 1,186 |
| lizlocks | $1 | -$2.4K | 51% of 72 |
| Xyzeric | $1 | -$717 | 42% of 203 |
| Harvinchristophergalit | $1 | +$14 | 50% of 6 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Alaska Governor Election Winner
- Mary Peltola$343K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Bernadette Wilson$256K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins$222K vol.Yes 86%No 14%Smart money split
- Tom Begich$174K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Nancy Dahlstrom$133K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- James Parkin$118K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Treg Taylor$64K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- David Bronson$57K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Adam Crum$52K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Matt Heilala$43K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Click Bishop$35K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Edna DeVries$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Lisa Murkowski$28K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Matt Claman$21K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Hank Kroll$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Shelley Hughes$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Bruce Walden$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?
92 wallets hold a position worth $23 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is glm4.1.fund, with $3 on it, $603K lifetime profit over 106,154 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is 0x00cDEa4d807710807cdBC54AD34cFAFCd992c0aE-1782010404295, with $2 on it, $643 lifetime loss over 1,186 markets (62% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Bill Walker win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $10K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 70 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 61 points. A week ago, Yes by 56 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.