Who's betting on “Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?”?
Politics · $118K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $118K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
87% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.
87 wallets hold a position worth $20 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is glm4.1.fund, with $3 on it, $593K lifetime profit over 105,072 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is bulbnbob, with $1 on it, $6.4K lifetime profit over 251 markets (81% won).
- Smart money share
- 87% ▲ 8 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 81
- Money on it
- $19
- Holders' winrate
- 40%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 66%
- Holders
- 6
- Money on it
- $2
- Holders' winrate
- 81%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| glm4.1.fundnoise | $3 | +$593K | 32% of 105,072 |
| BabyGrootwhale | $2 | +$56K | 68% of 743 |
| SPLPBnoise | $2 | +$1.7K | 28% of 3,382 |
| balthazarwhale | $1 | +$1.2M | 53% of 44,333 |
| donthackmenoise | $1 | +$914K | 29% of 69,947 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| bulbnbobwhale | $1 | +$6.4K | 81% of 251 |
| 0x84B9B4adBE48a19fB3b13dd3b52af19606937f7F-1775650688847 | $0 | -$4.0K | 87% of 288 |
| IWant1Dollarwhale | $0 | +$26K | 76% of 262 |
| neutralwave23 | $0 | -$2.9M | 72% of 27,191 |
| 0x9b4b…591c | $0 | -$178 | 0% of 230 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Alaska Governor Election Winner
- Mary Peltola$343K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Bernadette Wilson$256K vol.Yes 13%No 87%Smart money: Yes
- Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins$222K vol.Yes 86%No 14%Smart money split
- Tom Begich$174K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Nancy Dahlstrom$133K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Treg Taylor$64K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- David Bronson$57K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Adam Crum$52K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Matt Heilala$43K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Click Bishop$35K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Edna DeVries$30K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Lisa Murkowski$28K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Matt Claman$21K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Hank Kroll$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Shelley Hughes$17K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Bruce Walden$13K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Bill Walker$10K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?
87 wallets hold a position worth $20 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 87 of them. The largest Yes holder is glm4.1.fund, with $3 on it, $593K lifetime profit over 105,072 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is bulbnbob, with $1 on it, $6.4K lifetime profit over 251 markets (81% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $118K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
87% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 12 points. A week ago, Yes by 7 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.