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Who's betting on “Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?”?

Politics · $256K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $256K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

81% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 46 points.

222 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 222 of them. The largest Yes holder is wan123, with $3.0K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 273 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $2.1K on it, $454K lifetime loss over 10,645 markets (49% won).

Yes13%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
81%
Holders
127
Money on it
$6.5K
Holders' winrate
69%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No87%
Smart money share
38% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
Holders
95
Money on it
$11K
Holders' winrate
56%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
wan123whale$3.0K+$1.2M79% of 273
anoin123$778-$4.9M60% of 1,429
ImJustKenwhale$672+$2.3M65% of 1,065
Rr55whale$476+$39K72% of 1,182
0xf27de6607Cbd19be1133619B9807ff63Fb86e6dwhale$428+$33K64% of 295
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Gaditima$2.1K-$454K49% of 10,645
macrosteaks$2.0K-$6.8K65% of 2,292
cowcatwhale$1.1K+$45K68% of 1,058
Anonn88$957-$7.2K52% of 44
AnonymousUsernamewhale$725+$360K70% of 5,120
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?

222 wallets hold a position worth $17K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 222 of them. The largest Yes holder is wan123, with $3.0K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 273 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is Gaditima, with $2.1K on it, $454K lifetime loss over 10,645 markets (49% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 13¢ and No at 87¢, an 87% implied chance of No. $256K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

81% of the money on Yes and 38% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 43 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 46 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo