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Who's betting on “Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?”?

Politics · $21K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

88% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 88 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 80 points. A week ago, Yes by 76 points.

92 wallets hold a position worth $65 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is glm4.1.fund, with $3 on it, $593K lifetime profit over 105,072 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is cashx1000, with $37 on it, $346 lifetime loss over 68 markets (49% won).

Yes0%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
88% ▲ 8 pts 24 h
Holders
89
Money on it
$19
Holders' winrate
42%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No100%
Smart money share
0%
Holders
3
Money on it
$46
Holders' winrate
59%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
glm4.1.fundnoise$3+$593K32% of 105,072
planktonXDwhale$2+$131K76% of 5,427
SPLPBnoise$2+$1.7K28% of 3,382
donthackmenoise$1+$914K29% of 69,947
balthazarwhale$1+$1.2M53% of 44,333
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
cashx1000$37-$34649% of 68
0xf0F8711F85B0ba0e1B1A2dEa56B560B69a6aFCF6-1772006482226$9-$20498% of 215
0x84B9B4adBE48a19fB3b13dd3b52af19606937f7F-1775650688847$0-$4.0K87% of 288
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?

92 wallets hold a position worth $65 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 92 of them. The largest Yes holder is glm4.1.fund, with $3 on it, $593K lifetime profit over 105,072 markets (32% won). The largest No holder is cashx1000, with $37 on it, $346 lifetime loss over 68 markets (49% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $21K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.

Which side is the smart money on?

88% of the money on Yes and 0% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 88 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 80 points. A week ago, Yes by 76 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Matt Claman win the 2026 Alaska governor election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo