Who's betting on “Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?”?
Politics · $444K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 67¢ and No at 33¢, a 67% implied chance of Yes. $444K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
95% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 37 points.
365 wallets hold a position worth $225K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 365 of them. The largest Yes holder is flawfence, with $53K on it, $480K lifetime profit over 478 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $9.9K on it, $347K lifetime profit over 5,088 markets (70% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $11K on No.
- Smart money share
- 95%
- Holders
- 211
- Money on it
- $167K
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 66% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 154
- Money on it
- $58K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 2 · $11K
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| flawfencewhale | $53K | +$480K | 75% of 478 |
| SlavaUkrainiwhale | $35K | +$726K | 75% of 288 |
| Contestable-Parfaitbalanced | $18K | +$1.9K | 60% of 137 |
| BiDiFakePollswhale | $8.7K | +$71K | 77% of 303 |
| tunatylerwhale | $7.4K | +$253K | 56% of 1,020 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| AnonymousUsernamewhale | $9.9K | +$347K | 70% of 5,088 |
| ClickKlackClicksniper | $6.4K | +$45K | 99% of 219 |
| Gaditima | $6.3K | -$459K | 49% of 10,545 |
| macrosteaks | $5.4K | -$6.8K | 65% of 2,292 |
| Fulguratorsniper | $4.8K | +$21K | 89% of 97 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?"?
365 wallets hold a position worth $225K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 365 of them. The largest Yes holder is flawfence, with $53K on it, $480K lifetime profit over 478 markets (75% won). The largest No holder is AnonymousUsername, with $9.9K on it, $347K lifetime profit over 5,088 markets (70% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 67¢ and No at 33¢, a 67% implied chance of Yes. $444K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
95% of the money on Yes and 66% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 29 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 31 points. A week ago, Yes by 37 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.