Who's betting on “Iran leadership change by September 30?”?
Politics · $1.7M volume · Closed · Updated October 1, 2026
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $1.7M has been traded on it.
71% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
545 wallets hold a position worth $386K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 545 of them.
- Smart money share
- 71% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 134
- Money on it
- $193
- Holders' winrate
- 47%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 75% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 411
- Money on it
- $386K
- Holders' winrate
- 86%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Iran leadership change by September 30?"?
545 wallets hold a position worth $386K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 545 of them.
What are the Polymarket odds for "Iran leadership change by September 30?"?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $1.7M has been traded on it.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 75% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
This market closed on October 1, 2026 and resolved No. $1.7M has been traded on it.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.