Who's betting on “Netanyahu out by end of 2026?”?
Politics · $2.8M volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of No. $2.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
63% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
1,916 wallets hold a position worth $312K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,905 of them. The largest Yes holder is wan123, with $14K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 273 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $44K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $13 on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $93 on No.
- Smart money share
- 63%
- Holders
- 916
- Money on it
- $126K
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 2 · $13
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 48%
- Holders
- 1,000
- Money on it
- $186K
- Holders' winrate
- 64%
- Snipers
- 1 · $93
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| wan123whale | $14K | +$1.2M | 79% of 273 |
| QMTRADRnoise | $14K | +$3.2K | 39% of 145 |
| itamarBenGvir | $11K | -$1.3K | 75% of 4 |
| WordleAddictwhale | $8.6K | +$642K | 61% of 1,058 |
| BlindAndDeafbalanced | $4.8K | +$4.3K | 89% of 28 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| anoin123 | $44K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| elreptilwhale | $15K | +$30K | 64% of 176 |
| alwaysOnwhale | $14K | +$28K | 75% of 1,020 |
| flawfencewhale | $11K | +$480K | 75% of 478 |
| Smart-bettor7 | $5.0K | -$3.7K | 82% of 209 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Netanyahu out by end of 2026?"?
1,916 wallets hold a position worth $312K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,905 of them. The largest Yes holder is wan123, with $14K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 273 markets (79% won). The largest No holder is anoin123, with $44K on it, $4.9M lifetime loss over 1,429 markets (60% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Netanyahu out by end of 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 41¢ and No at 60¢, a 60% implied chance of No. $2.8M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
63% of the money on Yes and 48% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 15 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 15 points. A week ago, Yes by 23 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.