Who's betting on “Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?
Politics · $3.1M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $3.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
38% of the money on Yes and 1% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
276 wallets hold a position worth $6.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 276 of them. The largest Yes holder is asdf8888, with $2.5K on it, $29K lifetime loss over 23 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is dimvpizzz, with $1.1K on it, $22 lifetime loss over 33 markets (27% won).
- Smart money share
- 38%
- Holders
- 263
- Money on it
- $4.7K
- Holders' winrate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 1%
- Holders
- 13
- Money on it
- $1.4K
- Holders' winrate
- 26%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| asdf8888 | $2.5K | -$29K | 78% of 23 |
| AnonymousUsernamewhale | $213 | +$357K | 70% of 5,065 |
| J-E-Rwhale | $169 | +$249K | 52% of 642 |
| 0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0whale | $160 | +$228K | 71% of 202 |
| 00008888 | $153 | -$18K | 31% of 89 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| dimvpizzz | $1.1K | -$22 | 27% of 33 |
| teresacarter | $99 | -$6 | 15% of 71 |
| 23b4896 | $83 | -$34 | 55% of 89 |
| clarkegreg | $77 | -$15 | 10% of 98 |
| ericharvey | $55 | -$7 | 9% of 77 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Cory Booker$27M vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
276 wallets hold a position worth $6.2K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 276 of them. The largest Yes holder is asdf8888, with $2.5K on it, $29K lifetime loss over 23 markets (78% won). The largest No holder is dimvpizzz, with $1.1K on it, $22 lifetime loss over 33 markets (27% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Abigail Spanberger win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $3.1M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.
Which side is the smart money on?
38% of the money on Yes and 1% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 37 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 37 points. A week ago, Yes by 29 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.