Who's betting on “Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?”?
Politics · $1.4M volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 69¢ and No at 31¢, a 69% implied chance of Yes. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
48% of the money on Yes and 28% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 28 points.
1,140 wallets hold a position worth $630K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,096 of them. The largest Yes holder is vsdiz1337, with $87K on it, $6.5K lifetime loss over 2 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is taxmoney, with $54K on it, $7 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won).
2 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $19K on Yes; 1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $3 on No; the insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $13K on Yes; the insider radar has flagged 8 wallets betting $174K on No.
- Smart money share
- 48% ▲ 3 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 780
- Money on it
- $445K
- Holders' winrate
- 68%
- Snipers
- 2 · $19K
- Insider flags
- 1 · $13K
- Smart money share
- 28% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 360
- Money on it
- $185K
- Holders' winrate
- 62%
- Snipers
- 1 · $3
- Insider flags
- 8 · $174K
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| vsdiz1337 | $87K | -$6.5K | 50% of 2 |
| Gortholl | $55K | +$0 | - |
| flawfencewhale | $20K | +$480K | 75% of 478 |
| defillama7sniper | $18K | +$448K | 88% of 51 |
| tunatylerwhale | $13K | +$253K | 56% of 1,020 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| taxmoney | $54K | -$7 | 0% of 1 |
| 88888x88888 | $35K | +$371 | - |
| izcikagamoji | $29K | -$2.6K | - |
| Bear9011 | $5.3K | +$0 | - |
| QubiBg | $4.6K | -$11 | 0% of 1 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Ilija Srdanović$333K vol.Yes 11%No 90%Smart money: Yes
- Ivica Dačić$51K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Vladan Đokić$49K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Ana Brnabić$47K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Stefan Krkobabić$33K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dragan Đilas$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Đuro Macut$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dejan Šoškić$21K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money split
- Miloš Vučević$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Radomir Saičić$20K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Branimir Jovanović$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?"?
1,140 wallets hold a position worth $630K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,096 of them. The largest Yes holder is vsdiz1337, with $87K on it, $6.5K lifetime loss over 2 markets (50% won). The largest No holder is taxmoney, with $54K on it, $7 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 69¢ and No at 31¢, a 69% implied chance of Yes. $1.4M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
48% of the money on Yes and 28% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 16 points. A week ago, Yes by 28 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on Yes ($13K) and 8 wallets on No ($174K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.