Who's betting on “Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?”?
Politics · $32K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
91% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
103 wallets hold a position worth $604 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Yes holder is fiter, with $5 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 769 markets (16% won). The largest No holder is 0x78Cce4a061B3941d9D4479283A142b89674261A7-1732990401590, with $54 on it, $12 lifetime profit over 183 markets (98% won).
- Smart money share
- 91%
- Holders
- 58
- Money on it
- $18
- Holders' winrate
- 36%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 71%
- Holders
- 45
- Money on it
- $585
- Holders' winrate
- 95%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| fiternoise | $5 | +$46K | 16% of 769 |
| 0xfa2d…5215 | $3 | - | - |
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495noise | $2 | +$318K | 22% of 11,530 |
| NyetRisknoise | $1 | +$180K | 38% of 34 |
| glm4.1.fundnoise | $1 | +$593K | 32% of 105,072 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x78Cce4a061B3941d9D4479283A142b89674261A7-1732990401590grinder | $54 | +$12 | 98% of 183 |
| 0x0A719801A9a9B2e2105D51eba859f8F9976c9646-1734339590259 | $26 | -$60 | 98% of 165 |
| 0xA584fE42346a64192bd54E7f68815633Ea1273Dc-1734203413771 | $20 | +$26 | 99% of 76 |
| 0xC988af44d0f279e9558521a0eB265172c3b66A9D-1733340848784 | $19 | -$89 | 89% of 53 |
| Hangberger | $17 | +$52 | 100% of 96 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Aleksandar Vučić$1.5M vol.Yes 69%No 31%Smart money: Yes
- Ilija Srdanović$335K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Ivica Dačić$53K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Vladan Đokić$50K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Ana Brnabić$49K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Stefan Krkobabić$34K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Đuro Macut$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dejan Šoškić$24K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- Radomir Saičić$21K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Miloš Vučević$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Branimir Jovanović$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?"?
103 wallets hold a position worth $604 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 101 of them. The largest Yes holder is fiter, with $5 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 769 markets (16% won). The largest No holder is 0x78Cce4a061B3941d9D4479283A142b89674261A7-1732990401590, with $54 on it, $12 lifetime profit over 183 markets (98% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Dragan Đilas be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $32K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
91% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 20 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 19 points. A week ago, Yes by 15 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.