Who's betting on “Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?”?
Politics · $333K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $333K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
45% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago it was split.
369 wallets hold a position worth $60K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 351 of them. The largest Yes holder is sciuboi, with $1.8K on it, $269K lifetime profit over 611 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is vsdiz1337, with $26K on it, $6.5K lifetime loss over 2 markets (50% won).
The insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $15K on Yes.
- Smart money share
- 45%
- Holders
- 240
- Money on it
- $9.5K
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 1 · $15K
- Smart money share
- 18% ▲ 8 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 129
- Money on it
- $50K
- Holders' winrate
- 69%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| sciuboiwhale | $1.8K | +$269K | 60% of 611 |
| taxmoney | $1.6K | -$7 | 0% of 1 |
| izcikagamoji | $1.3K | -$2.6K | - |
| 0x1881…4e59 | $396 | - | - |
| legiulesbalanced | $315 | +$9.1K | 79% of 24 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| vsdiz1337 | $26K | -$6.5K | 50% of 2 |
| Legolamb | $5.1K | -$3 | 67% of 3 |
| nedjeljko | $3.6K | +$0 | - |
| Polupander | $3.5K | +$2.2K | 82% of 17 |
| lissartter | $1.8K | -$270K | 56% of 2,742 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Aleksandar Vučić$1.4M vol.Yes 69%No 31%Smart money: Yes
- Ivica Dačić$51K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Vladan Đokić$49K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Ana Brnabić$47K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Stefan Krkobabić$33K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dragan Đilas$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Đuro Macut$24K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dejan Šoškić$21K vol.Yes 15%No 85%Smart money split
- Miloš Vučević$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Radomir Saičić$20K vol.Yes 4%No 96%Smart money: Yes
- Branimir Jovanović$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?"?
369 wallets hold a position worth $60K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 351 of them. The largest Yes holder is sciuboi, with $1.8K on it, $269K lifetime profit over 611 markets (60% won). The largest No holder is vsdiz1337, with $26K on it, $6.5K lifetime loss over 2 markets (50% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 11¢ and No at 90¢, a 90% implied chance of No. $333K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
45% of the money on Yes and 18% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 28 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 36 points. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on Yes ($15K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.