Who's betting on “Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?”?
Politics · $24K volume · Ends October 25, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
75% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 46 points.
132 wallets hold a position worth $907 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 132 of them. The largest Yes holder is fiter, with $4 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 769 markets (16% won). The largest No holder is caiiyiling, with $18 on it, $19 lifetime loss over 75 markets (99% won).
- Smart money share
- 75% ▲ 2 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 57
- Money on it
- $18
- Holders' winrate
- 40%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 29%
- Holders
- 75
- Money on it
- $889
- Holders' winrate
- 98%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| fiternoise | $4 | +$46K | 16% of 769 |
| Tadiv33 | $2 | -$228 | 0% of 3 |
| 0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495noise | $2 | +$318K | 22% of 11,530 |
| hysteria-starter | $1 | -$20 | 87% of 39 |
| glm4.1.fundnoise | $1 | +$593K | 32% of 105,072 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| caiiyiling | $18 | -$19 | 99% of 75 |
| lantinfting | $17 | +$7 | 100% of 59 |
| dbsd123 | $15 | +$6 | 93% of 96 |
| mamguio | $15 | -$17 | 100% of 64 |
| ouyangchen | $15 | -$26 | 100% of 62 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Next Prime Minister of Serbia?
- Aleksandar Vučić$1.5M vol.Yes 69%No 31%Smart money: Yes
- Ilija Srdanović$335K vol.Yes 9%No 92%Smart money: Yes
- Ivica Dačić$53K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Vladan Đokić$50K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Ana Brnabić$49K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Stefan Krkobabić$34K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dragan Đilas$32K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Dejan Šoškić$24K vol.Yes 14%No 86%Smart money: No
- Radomir Saičić$21K vol.Yes 3%No 97%Smart money: Yes
- Miloš Vučević$20K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Branimir Jovanović$15K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
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- Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$49M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$45M vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Questions
Who is betting on "Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?"?
132 wallets hold a position worth $907 in all; Polkyo has a track record for 132 of them. The largest Yes holder is fiter, with $4 on it, $46K lifetime profit over 769 markets (16% won). The largest No holder is caiiyiling, with $18 on it, $19 lifetime loss over 75 markets (99% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Đuro Macut be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 0¢ and No at 100¢, a 100% implied chance of No. $24K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on October 25, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
75% of the money on Yes and 29% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 45 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 44 points. A week ago, Yes by 46 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on October 25, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.