Who's betting on “Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?”?
Politics · $686K volume · Ends November 4, 2026 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $686K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
71% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
380 wallets hold a position worth $272K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 377 of them. The largest Yes holder is lomneivan, with $62K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 59 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is studentgameer, with $18K on it, $327 lifetime loss over 377 markets (61% won).
The insider radar has flagged 1 wallet betting $30K on No.
- Smart money share
- 71% ▼ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 160
- Money on it
- $105K
- Holders' winrate
- 72%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 71% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 220
- Money on it
- $167K
- Holders' winrate
- 66%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 1 · $30K
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| lomneivanwhale | $62K | +$133K | 80% of 59 |
| anoin123 | $13K | -$4.9M | 60% of 1,429 |
| carkiller530 | $2.9K | +$16K | 94% of 18 |
| pompey | $2.3K | -$4.8K | 51% of 35 |
| 0xf5592765133941c40C77e52Bc56bbe7EC167F462-1755612447740 | $2.1K | -$402K | 82% of 502 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| studentgameer | $18K | -$327 | 61% of 377 |
| Do-Not-Redeemwhale | $16K | +$357K | 73% of 1,083 |
| SIMO-HAYHA | $14K | +$10.0K | 83% of 6 |
| Railcoolwhale | $14K | +$125K | 74% of 145 |
| Pondermintwhale | $8.0K | +$110K | 60% of 259 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?"?
380 wallets hold a position worth $272K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 377 of them. The largest Yes holder is lomneivan, with $62K on it, $133K lifetime profit over 59 markets (80% won). The largest No holder is studentgameer, with $18K on it, $327 lifetime loss over 377 markets (61% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 32¢ and No at 69¢, a 69% implied chance of No. $686K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 4, 2026.
Which side is the smart money on?
71% of the money on Yes and 71% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it was split. A week ago it was split.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on November 4, 2026. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Is there insider betting on this market?
1 wallet on No ($30K) match the pattern of insider bets: a fresh or dormant wallet putting a lot on long odds. A flag is a pattern, not proof.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.