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Who's betting on “Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?”?

Politics · $12M volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $12M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

74% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago it was split.

1,798 wallets hold a position worth $175K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,798 of them. The largest Yes holder is mombil, with $15K on it, $497K lifetime profit over 1,035 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is testing123123123, with $9.5K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 175 markets (81% won).

1 sniper (proven, high-edge traders) hold $357 on Yes.

Yes5%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
74%
Holders
838
Money on it
$158K
Holders' winrate
59%
Snipers
1 · $357
Insider flags
0
No95%
Smart money share
64%
Holders
960
Money on it
$17K
Holders' winrate
73%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
mombilwhale$15K+$497K63% of 1,035
0xcf19…6402whale$13K+$173K54% of 469
TortugaGordanoise$10K+$124K39% of 1,014
fsx45whale$10K+$81K71% of 399
bernardbulletinwhale$8.4K+$189K75% of 1,110
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
testing123123123balanced$9.5K+$11K81% of 175
gfjt67tfjgh$2.1K-$561% of 18
Ideal$740-$4.8K68% of 183
Mamedkazah$500-$3845% of 22
Quanquanyi$288-$785% of 53
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

1,798 wallets hold a position worth $175K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 1,798 of them. The largest Yes holder is mombil, with $15K on it, $497K lifetime profit over 1,035 markets (63% won). The largest No holder is testing123123123, with $9.5K on it, $11K lifetime profit over 175 markets (81% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 5¢ and No at 95¢, a 95% implied chance of No. $12M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

74% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 10 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 9 points. A week ago it was split.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo