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Who's betting on “Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?”?

Politics · $698K volume · Ends November 8, 2028 · Updated October 24, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $698K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

88% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 82 points.

264 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 264 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $4.1K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is 0x196CCafB95ccbeB53455B1D85eEE26311C6E5bbe-1778130649706, with $119 on it, $1 lifetime profit over 6 markets (67% won).

Yes1%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
88%
Holders
236
Money on it
$18K
Holders' winrate
61%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money share
36%
Holders
28
Money on it
$1.7K
Holders' winrate
40%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
The Spirit of Ukraine>UMAwhale$4.1K+$1.8M69% of 1,104
11122noise$2.3K+$630K42% of 1,111
J-E-Rwhale$1.7K+$249K52% of 642
0xcdlambjrrt0lk1en0js1mps0nipda1lyjfkwhale$1.3K+$15K77% of 22
AnonymousUsernamewhale$1.1K+$350K70% of 5,075
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x196CCafB95ccbeB53455B1D85eEE26311C6E5bbe-1778130649706$119+$167% of 6
0x616fe1725246C04205098029c51396Be9C9E052C-1778130791110$117+$283% of 6
0xc0cfEBf9DdA734720DEA960Fa147807a30c91d45-1778130807292$117+$057% of 7
0x4fd8fcdb01AB2e8977D4fB74d3e8fEE4bb0Ae801-1778130670919$116+$067% of 6
0x45b225bCbb1620c3A5299205DE815559F37F9acf-1778130438352$115-$060% of 5
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

264 wallets hold a position worth $19K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 264 of them. The largest Yes holder is The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA, with $4.1K on it, $1.8M lifetime profit over 1,104 markets (69% won). The largest No holder is 0x196CCafB95ccbeB53455B1D85eEE26311C6E5bbe-1778130649706, with $119 on it, $1 lifetime profit over 6 markets (67% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $698K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on November 8, 2028.

Which side is the smart money on?

88% of the money on Yes and 36% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans Yes, by 52 points. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 53 points. A week ago, Yes by 82 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on November 8, 2028. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo