Who's betting on “Will Trump and Putin not meet?”?
Politics · $525K volume · Ends January 1, 2027 · Updated October 24, 2026
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $525K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
78% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
451 wallets hold a position worth $45K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 450 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $2.4K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 44,054 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Fulgurator, with $8.1K on it, $21K lifetime profit over 97 markets (89% won).
3 snipers (proven, high-edge traders) hold $8.6K on No.
- Smart money share
- 78%
- Holders
- 306
- Money on it
- $15K
- Holders' winrate
- 60%
- Snipers
- 0
- Insider flags
- 0
- Smart money share
- 74% ▲ 3 pts 24 h
- Holders
- 145
- Money on it
- $30K
- Holders' winrate
- 76%
- Snipers
- 3 · $8.6K
- Insider flags
- 0
The biggest holders on each side
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| balthazarwhale | $2.4K | +$1.2M | 53% of 44,054 |
| 1nvoker1whale | $1.6K | +$14K | 62% of 1,015 |
| NotQuetionswhale | $1.1K | +$5.7K | 60% of 200 |
| Odysseus7whale | $688 | +$1.7K | 69% of 756 |
| 0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271whale | $652 | +$65K | 63% of 5,496 |
| Trader | Position | Lifetime P&L | Won |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fulguratorsniper | $8.1K | +$21K | 89% of 97 |
| fpjsqj | $3.4K | -$1.3K | 80% of 15 |
| troimwhale | $2.5K | +$81K | 66% of 791 |
| mewmew1 | $1.8K | -$12K | 64% of 1,103 |
| MaxEntnoise | $1.7K | +$3.5K | 41% of 351 |
Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.
More markets in Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- China$332K vol.Yes 78%No 22%Smart money: Yes
- Russia$138K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- United States$120K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: No
- Other$91K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money split
- Gulf country$90K vol.Yes 1%No 99%Smart money: Yes
- Turkey$89K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Belarus$84K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Other EU country$83K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Finland$78K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Switzerland$76K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Australia$63K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- South Korea$63K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: No
- Ukraine$60K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
- Japan$58K vol.Yes 0%No 100%Smart money: Yes
Who's betting on Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026? →
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Questions
Who is betting on "Will Trump and Putin not meet?"?
451 wallets hold a position worth $45K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 450 of them. The largest Yes holder is balthazar, with $2.4K on it, $1.2M lifetime profit over 44,054 markets (53% won). The largest No holder is Fulgurator, with $8.1K on it, $21K lifetime profit over 97 markets (89% won).
What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Trump and Putin not meet?"?
Polymarket prices Yes at 16¢ and No at 84¢, an 84% implied chance of No. $525K has been traded on it, and it is set to end on January 1, 2027.
Which side is the smart money on?
78% of the money on Yes and 74% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The profitable money is split about evenly between the sides. A day ago it leaned Yes, by 7 points. A week ago, Yes by 6 points.
When does this market end?
It is set to end on January 1, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.
Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.