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Who's betting on “Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?”?

Politics · $2.7M volume · Ends April 19, 2027 · Updated October 25, 2026

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $2.7M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

22% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 48 points.

726 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 724 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x837v626Ca0289j77j729K2pm38B, with $2.4K on it, $113 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.3K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,943 markets (69% won).

Yes1%
Smart money share
22% ▲ 1 pts 24 h
Holders
224
Money on it
$8.4K
Holders' winrate
41%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0
No99%
Smart money leans here
Smart money share
64%
Holders
502
Money on it
$4.2K
Holders' winrate
63%
Snipers
0
Insider flags
0

The biggest holders on each side

Yes
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
0x837v626Ca0289j77j729K2pm38B$2.4K-$1130% of 1
0xDa3686A341c13198E83A27434a5E174eE9c3fe3D-1782121836638$2.1K+$0-
0x6013Bc647870252840A77c267B1910E3cd291025-1773820167617$820-$3.0K-
mignonpignonnoise$772+$5.2K12% of 202
ndebock$214-$37829% of 7
No
TraderPositionLifetime P&LWon
Elias.Thornwellwhale$1.3K+$4.5K69% of 2,943
LuciusQuinctiusCincinnatus$526+$3100% of 2
Gstyuunep$405-$5356% of 18
Hannah3701$206-$6327% of 49
PascalProbalanced$199+$3.0K88% of 56
Every holder, the full history, and alerts when the smart money moves

Polkyo scores every wallet in this market and charts how each side's smart money share has moved since it was first tracked.

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Questions

Who is betting on "Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

726 wallets hold a position worth $13K in all; Polkyo has a track record for 724 of them. The largest Yes holder is 0x837v626Ca0289j77j729K2pm38B, with $2.4K on it, $113 lifetime loss over 1 markets (0% won). The largest No holder is Elias.Thornwell, with $1.3K on it, $4.5K lifetime profit over 2,943 markets (69% won).

What are the Polymarket odds for "Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?"?

Polymarket prices Yes at 1¢ and No at 99¢, a 99% implied chance of No. $2.7M has been traded on it, and it is set to end on April 19, 2027.

Which side is the smart money on?

22% of the money on Yes and 64% of the money on No is held by wallets that are in profit overall. The historically profitable money leans No, by 41 points. A day ago it leaned No, by 42 points. A week ago, No by 48 points.

When does this market end?

It is set to end on April 19, 2027. Polymarket markets can resolve earlier if the answer is known sooner.

Smart money share: the part of a side's money held by wallets in profit overall, each scored by its record as of the day it entered. How Polkyo works. Analytics from public data, not financial advice. Not affiliated with Polymarket.

Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election? Who's betting on Polymarket · Polkyo